Sandown-Lakeside R5

14:45Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm64)
1400mBenchmark 64Rail: Out 3m Entire Circuit
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm64)a 1400m benchmark 64 at Sandown-Lakeside, jumping at 14:45 on ground, rail out 3m entire circuit. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sandown-Lakeside has staged 32 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 32 (43.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 14 of 32 (43.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 29).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 32 (40.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.53 (2 from 13).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 1–3 — A/E 1.09 (7 from 33); overall it's Settle position 7–10.
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.15 (3 from 54).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Jackson Radley × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 10 from 47 (21.3%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #13 Pinot For Mike here.
  • Jockey Craig Williams: 23 from 146 (15.8%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #10 Glam Award here.
  • Jockey Dean Yendall: 7 from 37 (18.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #14 Celestial Splendor here.
  • Trainer G Eurell: 14 from 88 (15.9%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Materazzi, #9 King Maywin here.
  • Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 188 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (19 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Zentorno, #8 Zuppa Inglese here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 32 races (32 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1161134.4%9.5%0.77
Middle (5–9)1311443.8%10.7%0.82
Wide (10+)68721.9%10.3%1.01

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)931443.8%15.1%0.92
On-pace (4–6)93825%8.6%0.69
Midfield (7–10)87928.1%10.3%1.08
Backmarkers (11+)2900%0%0.00
Unknown1313.1%7.7%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)4412.5%100%1.80
Pop ($2–5)571340.6%22.8%0.79
Mid ($5–10)86825%9.3%0.69
Roughie (>$10)168721.9%4.2%0.87

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.