Tobin Brothers Celebrating Lives (Bm64) — a 1200m benchmark 64 at Sandown-Lakeside, jumping at 15:20 on — ground, rail out 3m entire circuit. 14 runners engaged.
At the trip
Sandown-Lakeside has staged 36 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 19 of 36 (52.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 21 of 36 (58.3% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.26).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 18 of 36 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 1.22 (7 from 46); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.38 (9 from 36).
- Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.12 (3 from 54); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Craig Williams: 23 from 146 (15.8%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Tennessee Song here.
- Trainer T & C McEvoy: 27 from 147 (18.4%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Audio Pop Cam here.
- Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 188 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (19 of those in the last 30) — saddles #3 Himeno here.
- Jockey Daniel Stackhouse is 8 from 47 at today’s meeting profile (17.0% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #13 Done Leavy here.