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← TareeThursday 9 July 2026

Taree R3

13:50Avon Valley Inn (Bm58)
1007mBenchmark 58Rail: +3m
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Avon Valley Inn (Bm58) — a 1007m benchmark 58 at Taree, jumping at 13:50 on — ground, rail +3m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Taree has staged 48 races at 1007m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 25 of 48 (52.1% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.20 (6 from 49).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 31 of 48 (64.6% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.38 (4 from 123).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 48 (39.6% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (7 from 92).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 22 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 0.88 (11 from 94); overall it's Wide (10+).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.41 (18 from 60).
  • Market: read holds — Odds-on (≤$2) again on top: A/E 1.20 (6 from 8).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Olivia Dalton: 8 from 42 (19.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Buzz Saw here.
  • Trainer Colt Prosser is 4 from 23 at today’s meeting profile (17.4% strike, A/E 1.87) and has #3 Buzz Saw here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1007m · 48 races (48 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1881735.4%9%0.67
Middle (5–9)2032552.1%12.3%0.92
Wide (10+)49612.5%12.2%1.20

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1383164.6%22.5%1.13
On-pace (4–6)1381122.9%8%0.67
Midfield (7–10)12348.3%3.3%0.38
Backmarkers (11+)1700%0%0.00
Unknown2424.2%8.3%0.78

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)191225%63.2%0.99
Pop ($2–5)831939.6%22.9%0.84
Mid ($5–10)92714.6%7.6%0.56
Roughie (>$10)2461020.8%4.1%0.94

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.