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← TareeThursday 9 July 2026

Taree R5

15:05Millard AG Plate (C1)
1614mClass 1Rail: +3m
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Millard AG Plate (C1) — a 1614m class 1 at Taree, jumping at 15:05 on — ground, rail +3m. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Taree has staged 26 races at 1614m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 26 (57.7% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.50 (8 from 102).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 17 of 26 (65.4% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 24).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 26 (42.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.32 (8 from 55).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.39 (8 from 36).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.94 (3 from 23).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 30 from 153 (19.6%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Send A Telegram here.
  • Jockey Olivia Dalton: 8 from 42 (19.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Purple Prince here.
  • Trainer Colt Prosser is 4 from 23 at today’s meeting profile (17.4% strike, A/E 1.87) and has #9 Hillbilly Hippie here.
  • Jockey Kacie Adams is 7 from 69 at today’s meeting profile (10.1% strike, A/E 1.44) and has #10 Battle Scars here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1614m · 26 races (26 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)102830.8%7.8%0.50
Middle (5–9)1161557.7%12.9%1.19
Wide (10+)44311.5%6.8%1.01

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)781765.4%21.8%1.18
On-pace (4–6)76415.4%5.3%0.41
Midfield (7–10)84519.2%6%0.81
Backmarkers (11+)2400%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)6415.4%66.7%0.91
Pop ($2–5)421142.3%26.2%0.84
Mid ($5–10)57726.9%12.3%0.89
Roughie (>$10)157415.4%2.5%0.64

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.