HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← BroomeSaturday 11 July 2026

Broome R3

16:22Progressive Supplies (Bm70+)
1600mBenchMark 70+Rail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Progressive Supplies (Bm70+) — a 1600m benchmark 70+ at Broome, jumping at 16:22 on — ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Broome has staged 9 races at 1600m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 4 of 9 each (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 4 of 9 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) and Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 3 of 9 each (33.3% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.55 (3 from 40).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.84 (4 from 38).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.01 (4 from 27).
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.55 (3 from 40).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Kyra Yuill × Ms J McLaughlin are 8 from 22 (36.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Kings Call here.
  • Together, Jefferson Tsang × Sue Olive are 7 from 22 (31.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Why Me here.
  • Trainer K L Moore is 3 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (18.8% strike, A/E 1.38) and has #6 Vevinsky here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 9 races (9 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)36444.4%11.1%0.78
Middle (5–9)38444.4%10.5%0.84
Wide (10+)14111.1%7.1%0.84

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27444.4%14.8%1.01
On-pace (4–6)27333.3%11.1%0.78
Midfield (7–10)28222.2%7.1%0.76
Backmarkers (11+)600%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)19333.3%15.8%0.57
Mid ($5–10)29333.3%10.3%0.78
Roughie (>$10)40333.3%7.5%1.55

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.