Broome R4

16:52Mangrove Hotel (Bm70+)
1200mBenchMark 70+Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Mangrove Hotel (Bm70+)a 1200m benchmark 70+ at Broome, jumping at 16:52 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Broome has staged 16 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 8 of 16 each (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 10 of 16 (62.5% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (2 from 42).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 16 (43.8% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (2 from 67).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 16 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.97 (8 from 68).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.19 (10 from 48).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.97 (6 from 45).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Kyra Yuill × Ms J McLaughlin are 8 from 22 (36.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Hell I Am here.
  • Together, Jefferson Tsang × Sue Olive are 7 from 22 (31.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Now You See Me here.
  • Trainer P B Hunter: 5 from 23 (21.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 King Cartel here.
  • Jockey Austin Galati is 5 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (41.7% strike, A/E 1.64) and has #5 Mocha Dream here.
  • Trainer K L Moore is 3 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (18.8% strike, A/E 1.38) and has #7 Cable Boy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 16 races (16 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)63850%12.7%0.80
Middle (5–9)68850%11.8%0.97
Wide (10+)1200%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)481062.5%20.8%1.19
On-pace (4–6)48425%8.3%0.67
Midfield (7–10)42212.5%4.8%0.42
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)416.2%25%0.45
Pop ($2–5)27743.8%25.9%0.89
Mid ($5–10)45637.5%13.3%0.97
Roughie (>$10)67212.5%3%0.60

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.