HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Port HedlandSunday 12 July 2026

Port Hedland R2

15:37Arnold Carter Memorial Hcp (C1)
1200mClass 1Rail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Arnold Carter Memorial Hcp (C1) — a 1200m class 1 at Port Hedland, jumping at 15:37 on — ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Port Hedland has staged 24 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 18 of 24 (75.0% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.46 (6 from 89).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 14 of 24 (58.3% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.20 (1 from 45).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 24 (62.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 72).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 24 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.17 (18 from 95).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.00 (14 from 72).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.11 (15 from 49).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Kyra Yuill × T N Pike are 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Working Class Girl here.
  • Trainer Dean Cocivera is 6 from 30 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #11 Leafice here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 24 races (24 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)951875%18.9%1.17
Middle (5–9)89625%6.7%0.46
Wide (10+)500%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)721458.3%19.4%1.00
On-pace (4–6)72937.5%12.5%0.86
Midfield (7–10)4514.2%2.2%0.20

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)7312.5%42.9%0.78
Pop ($2–5)491562.5%30.6%1.11
Mid ($5–10)61625%9.8%0.73
Roughie (>$10)7200%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.