Port Hedland R5

17:17Pilbara Toyota (Bm68+)
1300mBenchMark 68+Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Pilbara Toyota (Bm68+)a 1300m benchmark 68+ at Port Hedland, jumping at 17:17 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Port Hedland has staged 12 races at 1300m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 6 of 12 each (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 12 (50.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (1 from 26).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 12 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.45 (1 from 41).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.02 (6 from 48).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.05 (5 from 35).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.18 (6 from 19).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Kyra Yuill × T N Pike are 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Royalzel here.
  • Trainer Timothy Pike: 8 from 52 (15.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Galaxy Affair, #2 Border Control here.
  • Trainer Dean Cocivera is 6 from 30 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #9 Heeza Beau here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)46650%13%0.72
Middle (5–9)48650%12.5%1.02
Wide (10+)300%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)36650%16.7%0.86
On-pace (4–6)35541.7%14.3%1.05
Midfield (7–10)2618.3%3.8%0.36

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5216.7%40%0.67
Pop ($2–5)19650%31.6%1.18
Mid ($5–10)32325%9.4%0.70
Roughie (>$10)4118.3%2.4%0.45

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.