Historical overview
Across the 50 sampled runnings of 1200m at Wagga: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 16 of 50 winners (32.0% of winners, 13.8% strike, 1.12 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 24 of 50 winners (48.0% of winners, 11.0% strike, 0.92 A/E).
Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 5 from 12 (41.7% strike, 0.68 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 14.0% of winners.
Historical leans
- On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
- Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.