Wagga R2

13:00Linx Finance Country Boosted Mdn Plate
1200mMaidenRail: +8m
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Linx Finance Country Boosted Mdn Platea 1200m maiden at Wagga, jumping at 13:00 on ground, rail +8m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wagga has staged 50 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 24 of 50 (48.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 16 of 50 (32.0% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 62).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 23 of 50 (46.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (7 from 337).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 123 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 4–6 accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 6 runners, A/E 1.87) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Coriah Keatings × N J Olive are 7 from 36 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Krasavitsa here.
  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 20 from 103 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #3 Hold This here.
  • Trainer Michael Travers: 7 from 26 (26.9%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Aerial Artist here.
  • Trainer Doug Gorrel is 10 from 71 at today’s meeting profile (14.1% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #4 Hot Toddy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 50 races (50 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1901734%8.9%0.73
Middle (5–9)2182448%11%0.92
Wide (10+)140918%6.4%0.77

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1171428%12%0.85
On-pace (4–6)1161632%13.8%1.12
Midfield (7–10)130918%6.9%0.65
Backmarkers (11+)6200%0%0.00
Unknown1231122%8.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)12510%41.7%0.68
Pop ($2–5)902346%25.6%0.88
Mid ($5–10)1091530%13.8%1.01
Roughie (>$10)337714%2.1%0.56