HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WaggaMonday 6 July 2026

Wagga R3

13:35Victoria Hotel Mdn Hcp
1400mMaidenRail: +8m
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.29top 3
Ranked 1st
4. My Mate Elvis
Jeff Penza (5)
Ranked 2nd
1. The Ultimate Star
Sairyn Fawke (7)
Ranked 3rd
3. Rockabye Roxy
Shaun Guymer (3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
11 Sworntomymission(1)
4 My Mate Elvis(5)
Midfield7
settle 7–10
13 Second Witness(2)
3 Rockabye Roxy(3)
1 The Ultimate Star(7)
10 Star Chic(10)
8 Girl From Oz(11)
6 Sontuoso(12)
9 Prized Gesture(13)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
12 Thesandmancan(4)
2 Tupelo Twist(8)
5 Seguro(9)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
7 Broken Image(6)

Historical overview

Across the 36 sampled runnings of 1400m at Wagga: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 13 of 36 winners (36.1% of winners, 14.6% strike, 1.19 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 15 of 36 winners (41.7% of winners, 8.9% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 6 (16.7% strike, 0.28 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 27.8% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).