Victoria Hotel Mdn Hcp — a 1400m maiden at Wagga, jumping at 13:35 on — ground, rail +8m. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Wagga has staged 36 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 36 (41.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 13 of 36 (36.1% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (5 from 97).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 18 of 36 (50.0% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.57 (7 from 88).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 105 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Wide (10+) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 10 runners, A/E 1.81) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Coriah Keatings × N J Olive are 7 from 36 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Sontuoso here.
- Trainer Michael Travers: 7 from 26 (26.9%) in the last 30 days — saddles #13 Second Witness here.
- Trainer C D Widdison: 9 from 55 (16.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #12 Thesandmancan here.
- Jockey Carly Frater is 5 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (11.9% strike, A/E 1.68) and has #9 Prized Gesture here.
- Trainer Doug Gorrel is 10 from 71 at today’s meeting profile (14.1% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #4 My Mate Elvis here.