Saturday 4 July 2026NTEarly preview · published 3 July 14:10 AEST — updated race morning

Fannie Bay

Rail: True12:5217:44
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:10 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Fannie Bay in NT hosts a provincial meeting on —. The rail is True. There are 9 races scheduled from 12:52 to 17:44.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 6 restricted races and 3 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is DCOH Darwin Guineas.

What history says

Over 255 races from 2025-05-10 to 2026-06-27, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.65 A/E, 3.4% strike rate).

Jockey Raymond Vigar has 5 runners and a 24.0% local strike rate from 75 runs (1.11 A/E) and Trainer Terry Gillett has 2 runners and a 15.1% local strike rate from 73 runs (1.02 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Fannie Bay

255 races · 1982 runners · since 2025-05-10

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JLek Maloney5 todayA/E 1.61TK J Lamprecht3 todayA/E 1.35JIanish Luximon6 todayA/E 1.32TPeter Robl3 todayA/E 1.23JRaymond Vigar5 todayA/E 1.11JWanderson D'Avila2 todayA/E 1.06TTerry Gillett2 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)99514757.6%14.8%0.83
Middle (5–9)8449637.6%11.4%0.82
Wide (10+)143124.7%8.4%0.75

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1120.8%18.2%1.20
Unknown197125399.2%12.8%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)563513.7%62.5%1.09
Pop ($2–5)54213552.9%24.9%0.87
Mid ($5–10)5905822.7%9.8%0.72
Roughie (>$10)7942710.6%3.4%0.65

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.