Fannie Bay R5

15:17Novotel Darwin Hcp (62)

1200mRestricted 62Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.43top 3

Ranked 1st

5. Montjuic Magic

Jason Lyon (2)

Ranked 2nd

3. I Loverain

Paul Shiers (6)

Ranked 3rd

4. Itwasonlyakiss

Vanessa Arnott (3)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

No data2

no recent settle

6Galaxy General(1)

2Rhesus(4)

Backmarkers0

settle 11+

—

Midfield2

settle 7–10

4Itwasonlyakiss(3)

3I Loverain(6)

On-pace1

settle 3–6

1Cap Ten(5)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

5Montjuic Magic(2)

Historical overview

Across the 67 sampled runnings of 1200m at Fannie Bay: Unknown — 67 of 67 winners (100.0% of winners, 12.9% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 36 of 67 winners (53.7% of winners, 13.7% strike, 0.76 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1200m · True, 66 races): Unknown — 66 of 66 winners (100.0% of winners, 13.0% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 8 from 14 (57.1% strike, 0.92 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.4% of winners.

Historical leans

Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1200m · 67 races (67 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	262	36	53.7%	13.7%	0.76
Middle (5–9)	222	28	41.8%	12.6%	0.93
Wide (10+)	35	3	4.5%	8.6%	0.69

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Unknown	519	67	100%	12.9%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	14	8	11.9%	57.1%	0.92
Pop ($2–5)	141	33	49.3%	23.4%	0.81
Mid ($5–10)	154	19	28.4%	12.3%	0.91
Roughie (>$10)	210	7	10.4%	3.3%	0.63