HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Fannie BaySaturday 4 July 2026

Fannie Bay R9

17:44DCOH Darwin Guineas
1600mOpenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.2top 3
Ranked 1st
8. Merimbula
Jarrod Todd (4)
Ranked 2nd
4. Hammurabi
Raymond Vigar (5)
Ranked 3rd
10. Rivers Of Babylon
Wayne Davis (3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
9 Pleasing Smile(2)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
6 Leveraged Buyout(1)
4 Hammurabi(5)
1 Beachbarbeckons(7)
11 Morgana(8)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
8 Merimbula(4)
7 Maldini(6)
2 Crazy Town(9)
5 Hopeless Romantic(10)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
10 Rivers Of Babylon(3)
3 Easy Red(11)

Historical overview

Across the 39 sampled runnings of 1600m at Fannie Bay: Unknown — 38 of 39 winners (97.4% of winners, 11.6% strike, 0.8 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 22 of 39 winners (56.4% of winners, 14.6% strike, 0.84 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1600m · True, 37 races): Unknown — 36 of 37 winners (97.3% of winners, 11.6% strike, 0.8 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 4 from 8 (50.0% strike, 0.84 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 12.8% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 39 races (39 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1512256.4%14.6%0.84
Middle (5–9)1501538.5%10%0.79
Wide (10+)2925.1%6.9%0.73

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)312.6%33.3%2.67
Unknown3273897.4%11.6%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)8410.3%50%0.84
Pop ($2–5)822359%28%1.00
Mid ($5–10)94717.9%7.4%0.54
Roughie (>$10)146512.8%3.4%0.68