Fannie Bay R6

15:57Northcrest Hcp (70)

1100mRestricted 70Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy1.97top 3

Ranked 1st

1. Bruno Bruno

Raymond Vigar (1)

Ranked 2nd

2. Wallenda

Jarrod Todd (5)

Ranked 3rd

4. Anson Bay

Richard Bensley (3)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

No data2

no recent settle

1Bruno Bruno(1)

5Frawley(2)

Backmarkers0

settle 11+

—

Midfield1

settle 7–10

4Anson Bay(3)

On-pace1

settle 3–6

2Wallenda(5)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

3Real Valentia(4)

Historical overview

Across the 59 sampled runnings of 1100m at Fannie Bay: Unknown — 58 of 59 winners (98.3% of winners, 13.6% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 33 of 59 winners (55.9% of winners, 14.2% strike, 0.74 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1100m · True, 58 races): Unknown — 57 of 58 winners (98.3% of winners, 13.8% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 9 from 11 (81.8% strike, 1.42 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 5.1% of winners.

Historical leans

Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1100m · 59 races (59 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	232	33	55.9%	14.2%	0.74
Middle (5–9)	175	23	39%	13.1%	0.91
Wide (10+)	21	3	5.1%	14.3%	1.61

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	3	1	1.7%	33.3%	1.86
Unknown	425	58	98.3%	13.6%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	11	9	15.3%	81.8%	1.42
Pop ($2–5)	138	36	61%	26.1%	0.91
Mid ($5–10)	123	11	18.6%	8.9%	0.64
Roughie (>$10)	156	3	5.1%	1.9%	0.35