Casterton

TurfRail: True Entire Circuit—12:45–16:40

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Casterton in VIC hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:45 to 16:40.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 3,800m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward staying tests. The feature race of the day is Davis Blinds Hrdl (Bm115).

What history says

Over 55 races from 2025-05-18 to 2026-06-07, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Trainer Symon Wilde has 2 runners and a 24.3% local strike rate from 37 runs (1.18 A/E) and Trainer Shane Jackson has 4 runners and a 24.0% local strike rate from 25 runs (1.24 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Casterton

55 races · 537 runners · since 2025-05-18

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TAaron Purcell4 todayA/E 2.46JMelissa Julius4 todayA/E 1.87TWayne Walters4 todayA/E 1.79JKate Walters4 todayA/E 1.62JDean Parker2 todayA/E 1.59JSarah Field4 todayA/E 1.54TShane Jackson4 todayA/E 1.24TSymon Wilde2 todayA/E 1.18

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	199	23	41.8%	11.6%	0.81
Middle (5–9)	219	23	41.8%	10.5%	0.88
Wide (10+)	119	9	16.4%	7.6%	0.73

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	142	29	52.7%	20.4%	1.17
On-pace (4–6)	115	7	12.7%	6.1%	0.51
Midfield (7–10)	127	7	12.7%	5.5%	0.63
Backmarkers (11+)	34	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	119	12	21.8%	10.1%	0.80

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	9	3	5.5%	33.3%	0.59
Pop ($2–5)	116	31	56.4%	26.7%	0.92
Mid ($5–10)	113	9	16.4%	8%	0.60
Roughie (>$10)	299	12	21.8%	4%	0.93

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.