Casterton R3

14:05WC & AC Miller Stpl (Bm115)

3800mSteepleRail: True

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7Track

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.15top 3

Ranked 1st

3. Saint Eustace

Steven Pateman (5)

Ranked 2nd

4. Nightfall

Jordan Hart (1)

Ranked 3rd

5. Charlie Messy Hair

Luca Remondet (2)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers0

settle 11+

—

Midfield2

settle 7–10

4Nightfall(1)

5Charlie Messy Hair(2)

On-pace2

settle 3–6

1Not Usual Dream(3)

3Saint Eustace(5)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

2Karburan(4)

Historical overview

Only 4 comparable historical runnings at 3800m on this track — too thin a sample for a reliable statistical read. The stats tabs below show what history exists; the full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance

3800m · 4 races (4 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	16	1	25%	6.2%	0.35
Middle (5–9)	7	3	75%	42.9%	1.63

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	10	3	75%	30%	1.16
On-pace (4–6)	5	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	8	1	25%	12.5%	0.73

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	1	1	25%	100%	1.55
Pop ($2–5)	7	3	75%	42.9%	1.23
Mid ($5–10)	9	0	0%	0%	0.00
Roughie (>$10)	6	0	0%	0%	0.00