Historical overview
Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1400m at Casterton: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 15.2% strike, 1.01 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 7 of 12 winners (58.3% of winners, 17.9% strike, 1.58 A/E).
Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 3 (33.3% strike, 0.64 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 8.3% of winners.
Historical leans
- Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.