Pinjarra R6

17:47Hahn 3.5 (Bm46+)
1300mBenchmark 46+Soft 5Rail: TrueFinal race-day data · updated 09:01 AEST
Races1234567
Model rankingsall runners · unfiltered
ConsensusOur key selections. A pick only appears when multiple models that we use agree on the same top selection — the highest-performing signal we publish. We only bet if we can get the Target price (20% above our Fair price) or better. Early prices shown here are a guide only. We reconcile our results only on those selections where the bookmaker SP is above the target price. You should make your own assessment if these selections fit your betting profile and never bet what you aren't prepared to lose. Our models aren't perfect, don't expect our selections to be.Entropy3.4top 3
Ranked 1st
3. No Peer
Joey Azzopardi (6)
Fair
$4.73
Target
$5.68
Mkt
$11.00
Ranked 2nd
8. Rebels
Sharni Webster (1)
Fair
$9.95
Target
$11.94
Mkt
$6.00
Ranked 3rd
10. Dominant Force
Rocky Cheung (7)
Fair
$9.95
Target
$11.94
Mkt
$11.00
FairThis is our model's price for this horse, any odds above this are considered good value.
TargetThe minimum price to bet — 20% above Fair. Only back this runner at the Target price or longer.
MktMarket price as @ 08:30 AEST.
SP — Official Bookmaker Starting Price
EntropyA score that reflects how contested a race is based on the model's predicted results. Lower the better, ≤ 2.7 is considered a good clear indicator.
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
13 Norma Stars(8)
5 Three Grand(10)
Midfield8
settle 7–10
8 Rebels(1)
7 Cherokee Miss(2)
11 State Of Fury(3)
3 No Peer(6)
10 Dominant Force(7)
2 Cosmic Eclipse(9)
9 Mantua(11)
12 One Target(12)
On-pace2
settle 3–6
6 Across Generations(4)
4 Pretty Devine(5)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead

Speed map

There is no confirmed leader, which makes this 1300m benchmark a tactical race. Pretty Devine and Across Generations are the two most likely to be positive, but both are better described as on-pace than pure leaders. Cosmic Eclipse, No Peer, Cherokee Miss, Rebels, Mantua, Dominant Force, State Of Fury and One Target form a large midfield group, while Three Grand and Norma Stars are the backmarkers.

Pretty Devine maps as the controlling runner by default. Gate 5 is workable and the Mack Hall stable angle is a small support. Across Generations has gate 4 and can keep it honest. Cosmic Eclipse has the strongest human-factor profile in the race, with both Cassey Martinan and the Bakranich stable showing up, but it maps midfield rather than in the first pair.

Historical overview

The broad Pinjarra 1300m sample is strongly pro-front, with positions 1-3 producing 10 winners from 17 races at A/E 1.64. The rail-matched profile is smaller at six races and less decisive, but the first three still hold the best of the main forward lanes at A/E 0.96, with deeper lanes only moderate.

The exact Soft 5/rail sample is one race, too thin to use as the main guide. Market data under the rail profile has been kind to shorter runners, and middle barriers have returned the best A/E in the six-race rail set. That suits Pretty Devine and Across Generations more than the wide midfielders.

  • Forward position is the historical edge — the broad 1300m data heavily rewards the first three.
  • Middle gates are usefulPretty Devine and Across Generations are drawn to use them.
  • Human-factor angles sit with Cosmic Eclipse — but its midfield map is not as clean as the forward pair.

Overall assessment

With no natural leader, the race may be there for whichever of Pretty Devine or Across Generations takes control. The history is not kind enough to deep runners to make a passive ride attractive. Cosmic Eclipse is interesting because of the rider/stable profile, but it needs to be closer than usual.

Key chances:

  • #4 Pretty Devine — maps closest to the lead, has a middle draw and fits the strongest broad historical lane.
  • #6 Across Generations — another forward option from gate 4, likely to get first run if Pretty Devine overdoes it.
  • #2 Cosmic Eclipse — the best angle horse, but it needs a proactive ride to avoid being left in the wrong settling band.

There are no published model selections here. The race read is that tactical intent matters more than a late finish. If Pretty Devine controls, the midfield group has to sprint off its tempo; if Across Generations applies pressure, Cosmic Eclipse and Dominant Force can get more involved.

This write up was completed using AI. We prompt it with extensive real race data and actively manage parts of the output. We are actively reviewing and refining these prompts, if you have feedback about these commentaries, please send us a message to hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by StopWatch (gpt-5.5).

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 17 races (17 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)67529.4%7.5%0.68
Middle (5–9)78635.3%7.7%0.72
Wide (10+)54635.3%11.1%1.16

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)511058.8%19.6%1.64
On-pace (4–6)51317.6%5.9%0.52
Midfield (7–10)62317.6%4.8%0.46
Backmarkers (11+)3515.9%2.9%0.41

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5317.6%60%1.03
Pop ($2–5)28529.4%17.9%0.66
Mid ($5–10)45847.1%17.8%1.32
Roughie (>$10)12115.9%0.8%0.23