HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MoeFriday 3 July 2026

Moe R4

13:55Total Tools Mdn Plate
1628mMaidenRail: Out 6m Entire CircuitEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.19top 3
Ranked 1st
7. Overpriced
Sheridan Clarke (2)
Ranked 2nd
11. Jenni Poppins
Jett Stanley (4)
Ranked 3rd
9. The Charlatan
Billy Egan (12)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data3
no recent settle
3 Father Mckenzie(4)
4 Inside Job(5)
8 Sigma Boy(6)
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
9 The Charlatan(12)
13 A Long Story Short(13)
Midfield3
settle 7–10
7 Overpriced(2)
10 Ceylon Diamond(9)
1 Anvil Point(10)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
14 Lion City Express(1)
6 Ngongotaha(3)
11 Jenni Poppins(4)
12 She's Astunnerarch(11)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
5 King Tagaloa(7)
2 Crunch Time(8)

Historical overview

Across the 14 sampled runnings of 1628m at Moe: Midfield (settle 7–10) — 5 of 14 winners (35.7% of winners, 11.4% strike, 1.27 A/E). From the gates, Wide (10+) — 5 of 14 winners (35.7% of winners, 12.2% strike, 1.35 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 0 from 1 (0.0% strike, 0.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 50.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Midfield (settle 7–10) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1628m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)51428.6%7.8%0.73
Middle (5–9)66535.7%7.6%0.64
Wide (10+)41535.7%12.2%1.35

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)36428.6%11.1%0.83
On-pace (4–6)36214.3%5.6%0.48
Midfield (7–10)44535.7%11.4%1.27
Backmarkers (11+)1817.1%5.6%0.61
Unknown24214.3%8.3%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)26214.3%7.7%0.29
Mid ($5–10)40535.7%12.5%0.93
Roughie (>$10)91750%7.7%1.63