HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MoeFriday 3 July 2026

Moe R8

16:20Trafalgar Tyre Service (Bm62)
1117mBenchmark 62Rail: Out 6m Entire CircuitEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.58top 3
Ranked 1st
15. Manhattan Thunder
Thomas Stockdale (1)
Ranked 2nd
14. Gina's A Star
Jye McNeil (4)
Ranked 3rd
10. Steamy Mist
Patrick Moloney (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield10
settle 7–10
15 Manhattan Thunder(1)
4 Godtfred Kirk(3)
14 Gina's A Star(4)
11 Turnaquid(5)
5 Mrs Archibald(9)
6 Bella Cinque(11)
8 Mauna Kea Miss(12)
1 Helluva Barty(14)
13 Get Honor(15)
3 Magic Drum(16)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
10 Steamy Mist(6)
12 Meet Me Halfway(7)
9 Unapproachable(13)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
2 Nasraawy(2)
16 Scholl Deep(8)
7 Hustle In Heels(10)

Historical overview

Across the 10 sampled runnings of 1117m at Moe: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 7 of 10 winners (70.0% of winners, 25.9% strike, 1.32 A/E). From the gates, Wide (10+) — 5 of 10 winners (50.0% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.45 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 4 (25.0% strike, 0.35 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1117m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)35220%5.7%0.46
Middle (5–9)43330%7%0.68
Wide (10+)27550%18.5%1.45

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27770%25.9%1.32
On-pace (4–6)27110%3.7%0.34
Midfield (7–10)27110%3.7%0.46
Backmarkers (11+)1300%0%0.00
Unknown11110%9.1%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)4110%25%0.35
Pop ($2–5)13440%30.8%1.00
Mid ($5–10)18440%22.2%1.72
Roughie (>$10)70110%1.4%0.33