Rockhampton R1

12:27Great Northern Mdn Hcp
1050mMaidenRail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Great Northern Mdn Hcp a 1050m maiden at Rockhampton, jumping at 12:27 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 54 races at 1050m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 32 of 54 (59.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (2 from 30).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 34 of 54 (63.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (4 from 92).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 32 of 54 (59.3% win share); Odds-on (≤$2) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (7 from 20).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 1.23) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Ryan Wiggins: 25 from 142 (17.6%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Blue Toes here.
  • Trainer G K Taylor: 6 from 21 (28.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Jungle Wonder here.
  • Jockey Jason Taylor is 5 from 30 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.66) and has #11 Agile Annie here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1050m · 54 races (54 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2043259.3%15.7%0.88
Middle (5–9)1912037%10.5%0.79
Wide (10+)3023.7%6.7%0.52

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1473463%23.1%1.12
On-pace (4–6)1351018.5%7.4%0.50
Midfield (7–10)9247.4%4.3%0.48
Backmarkers (11+)711.9%14.3%2.26
Unknown4459.3%11.4%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)20713%35%0.56
Pop ($2–5)1033259.3%31.1%1.01
Mid ($5–10)96916.7%9.4%0.69
Roughie (>$10)206611.1%2.9%0.75

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.