Rockhampton R6

15:27TAB Belle Of Capricornia (Bm70)
1400mBenchmark 70Rail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

TAB Belle Of Capricornia (Bm70)a 1400m benchmark 70 at Rockhampton, jumping at 15:27 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 44 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 23 of 44 (52.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (2 from 52).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 17 of 44 (38.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 24 of 44 (54.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aidan Holt: 31 from 143 (21.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Jam Packed here.
  • Jockey Ryan Wiggins: 25 from 142 (17.6%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Tigon Princess here.
  • Trainer J W Healy: 12 from 74 (16.2%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #3 Jam Packed here.
  • Trainer Ms G Bell: 16 from 105 (15.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Calyx Rose, #10 Too Many Kisses here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 44 races (44 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1661943.2%11.4%0.72
Middle (5–9)1752352.3%13.1%1.00
Wide (10+)5224.5%3.8%0.48

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1141738.6%14.9%0.86
On-pace (4–6)1121022.7%8.9%0.61
Midfield (7–10)951022.7%10.5%1.10
Backmarkers (11+)1612.3%6.2%1.13
Unknown56613.6%10.7%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)936.8%33.3%0.58
Pop ($2–5)932454.5%25.8%0.87
Mid ($5–10)90818.2%8.9%0.64
Roughie (>$10)201920.5%4.5%1.06

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.