Rockhampton R4

14:17Brisbane Airport Hotels Group Hcp (58)
1300mRestricted 58Rail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Brisbane Airport Hotels Group Hcp (58)a 1300m restricted 58 at Rockhampton, jumping at 14:17 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 26 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 13 of 26 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 16 of 26 (61.5% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.37).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 26 (53.8% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (3 from 56).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 1 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Nikki Olzard × Clinton Taylor are 7 from 25 (28.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Ten Carat Lucy here.
  • Jockey Ryan Wiggins: 25 from 142 (17.6%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Billy Boom here.
  • Trainer Ricky Vale: 9 from 59 (15.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Five Star King, #5 Itza Motza here.
  • Jockey Jai Williams is 6 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (21.4% strike, A/E 1.31) and has #3 Five Star King here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 26 races (26 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)951350%13.7%0.77
Middle (5–9)1081038.5%9.3%0.83
Wide (10+)37311.5%8.1%1.10

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)721661.5%22.2%1.37
On-pace (4–6)69519.2%7.2%0.51
Midfield (7–10)67311.5%4.5%0.44
Backmarkers (11+)1700%0%0.00
Unknown1527.7%13.3%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)8519.2%62.5%0.99
Pop ($2–5)481453.8%29.2%1.01
Mid ($5–10)56311.5%5.4%0.42
Roughie (>$10)128415.4%3.1%0.72

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.