Gold Coast R2

15:24Hospitality & Strata Mdn Hcp
1200mMaidenRail: +1m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hospitality & Strata Mdn Hcpa 1200m maiden at Gold Coast, jumping at 15:24 on ground, rail +1m. 19 runners engaged.

At the trip

Gold Coast has staged 81 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 39 of 81 (48.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 37 of 81 (45.7% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.49 (2 from 78).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 34 of 81 (42.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (10 from 439).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 1 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Karl Zechner × Nicholas Beck are 5 from 15 (33.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 African Evening here.
  • Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Subpoena Colada here.
  • Jockey Jaden Lloyd: 21 from 127 (16.5%) in the last 90 days — rides #13 Yattazou here.
  • Trainer Matthew Hoysted: 5 from 24 (20.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #7 Carpet Ride, #8 Subpoena Colada, #10 Dancin In Moonlite here.
  • Trainer P L Shailer: 9 from 58 (15.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #14 Secret Rose here.
  • Trainer Gary Doughty is 8 from 34 at today’s meeting profile (23.5% strike, A/E 1.73) and has #11 Helluva Road here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 81 races (81 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3053340.7%10.8%0.74
Middle (5–9)3353948.1%11.6%0.98
Wide (10+)159911.1%5.7%0.66

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2423745.7%15.3%0.90
On-pace (4–6)2382530.9%10.5%0.79
Midfield (7–10)2321721%7.3%0.83
Backmarkers (11+)7822.5%2.6%0.49
Unknown900%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)181012.3%55.6%0.97
Pop ($2–5)1543442%22.1%0.77
Mid ($5–10)1882733.3%14.4%1.07
Roughie (>$10)4391012.3%2.3%0.56

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.