Gold Coast R3

16:02Grace Lawyers (Bm68)
1800mBenchmark 68Rail: +1m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Grace Lawyers (Bm68)a 1800m benchmark 68 at Gold Coast, jumping at 16:02 on ground, rail +1m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Gold Coast has staged 48 races at 1800m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 18 of 48 (37.5% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.44 (13 from 100).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 18 of 48 (37.5% win share); the value band has been Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.58 (5 from 41).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 32 of 48 (66.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.40 (5 from 275).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 5 runners, A/E 1.55) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jaden Lloyd: 21 from 127 (16.5%) in the last 90 days — rides #1 Watermelon here.
  • Trainer Tony & Maddysen Sears: 13 from 85 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #8 Sarah's Sonnets here.
  • Trainer Ms M Brosnan is 2 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (10.5% strike, A/E 1.41) and has #3 Vacillation here.
  • Jockey Frederick Larson is 7 from 59 at today’s meeting profile (11.9% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #8 Sarah's Sonnets here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1800m · 48 races (48 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1771735.4%9.6%0.72
Middle (5–9)2151837.5%8.4%0.70
Wide (10+)1001327.1%13%1.44

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1411531.2%10.6%0.74
On-pace (4–6)1411837.5%12.8%0.98
Midfield (7–10)158918.8%5.7%0.58
Backmarkers (11+)41510.4%12.2%1.58
Unknown1112.1%9.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)336.2%100%1.72
Pop ($2–5)1033266.7%31.1%1.09
Mid ($5–10)111816.7%7.2%0.54
Roughie (>$10)275510.4%1.8%0.40

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.