HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Morphettville ParksSaturday 11 July 2026

Morphettville Parks R1

12:12Sportsbet Feed Hcp (C1)
1000mClass 1Rail: +9m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Sportsbet Feed Hcp (C1) — a 1000m class 1 at Morphettville Parks, jumping at 12:12 on — ground, rail +9m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Morphettville Parks has staged 57 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 25 of 57 (43.9% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.29 (10 from 93).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 32 of 57 (56.1% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.26 (1 from 49).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) and Mid ($5–10) win the most races here — 19 of 57 each (33.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 17 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 2.55 (3 from 18).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 7–10 — A/E 1.35 (5 from 39); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.39 (7 from 38); overall it's Roughie (>$10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Nick Ryan: 15 from 77 (19.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Rubare here.
  • Jockey Teagan Voorham is 13 from 92 at today’s meeting profile (14.1% strike, A/E 1.63) and has #10 Azytass here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 57 races (57 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2192543.9%11.4%0.75
Middle (5–9)2362238.6%9.3%0.80
Wide (10+)931017.5%10.8%1.29

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1683256.1%19%1.18
On-pace (4–6)1581221.1%7.6%0.60
Midfield (7–10)1621119.3%6.8%0.67
Backmarkers (11+)4911.8%2%0.26
Unknown1111.8%9.1%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1258.8%41.7%0.69
Pop ($2–5)1101933.3%17.3%0.64
Mid ($5–10)1371933.3%13.9%1.02
Roughie (>$10)2891424.6%4.8%1.09

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.