Morphettville Parks R9

17:02The Fotobase Group (Bm64)
1250mBenchmark 64Rail: +9m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

The Fotobase Group (Bm64)a 1250m benchmark 64 at Morphettville Parks, jumping at 17:02 on ground, rail +9m. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Morphettville Parks has staged 53 races at 1250m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 32 of 53 (60.4% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (15 from 224).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 22 of 53 (41.5% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (2 from 51).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 32 of 53 (60.4% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.46 (6 from 289).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Wide (10+) — A/E 1.79 (3 from 13); overall it's Inside (1–4).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 2.15 (2 from 6); overall it's Settle position 4–6.
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.20 (7 from 19).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Alysha Warren: 7 from 42 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 From The Block here.
  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 29 from 187 (15.5%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Cool Magnum here.
  • Trainer Travis Doudle: 16 from 90 (17.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 The Cosmic One here.
  • Jockey Stacey Metcalfe is 2 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (10.5% strike, A/E 2.83) and has #13 Titan Rising here.
  • Jockey Teagan Voorham is 13 from 92 at today’s meeting profile (14.1% strike, A/E 1.63) and has #7 Cork Harbour here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1250m · 53 races (53 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2043260.4%15.7%1.03
Middle (5–9)2241528.3%6.7%0.60
Wide (10+)93611.3%6.5%0.80

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1561834%11.5%0.75
On-pace (4–6)1522241.5%14.5%1.08
Midfield (7–10)1521018.9%6.6%0.73
Backmarkers (11+)5123.8%3.9%0.55
Unknown1011.9%10%0.64

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1035.7%30%0.51
Pop ($2–5)963260.4%33.3%1.18
Mid ($5–10)1261222.6%9.5%0.69
Roughie (>$10)289611.3%2.1%0.46

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.