Morphettville Parks R3

13:22Sportsbet Race Replays (Bm66)
1400mBenchmark 66Rail: +9m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Sportsbet Race Replays (Bm66)a 1400m benchmark 66 at Morphettville Parks, jumping at 13:22 on ground, rail +9m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Morphettville Parks has staged 46 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 22 of 46 (47.8% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.23 (10 from 104).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 23 of 46 (50.0% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 56).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 24 of 46 (52.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 1.61 (7 from 46); overall it's Wide (10+).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 7–10 — A/E 1.16 (3 from 33); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.00 (4 from 30); overall it's Pop ($2–5).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Alysha Warren: 7 from 42 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Falanghina here.
  • Trainer Travis Doudle: 16 from 90 (17.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Flaming Navy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 46 races (46 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1771430.4%7.9%0.60
Middle (5–9)2132247.8%10.3%0.91
Wide (10+)1041021.7%9.6%1.23

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1382350%16.7%1.13
On-pace (4–6)1371328.3%9.5%0.74
Midfield (7–10)1631021.7%6.1%0.69
Backmarkers (11+)5600%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)892452.2%27%0.95
Mid ($5–10)1271430.4%11%0.82
Roughie (>$10)276817.4%2.9%0.65

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.