Devonport Synthetic R5

13:35Torque Gear For Guys Hcp (C4)
1350mClass 4Rail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Torque Gear For Guys Hcp (C4)a 1350m class 4 at Devonport Synthetic, jumping at 13:35 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Devonport Synthetic has staged 42 races at 1350m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 25 of 42 (59.5% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 26).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 20 of 42 (47.6% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (4 from 85).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 18 of 42 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 42 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 0.93 (25 from 161).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.91 (16 from 118).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.05 (13 from 89).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Erica Byrne Burke × Adam Trinder are 8 from 28 (28.6%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Kireina Marubrah here.
  • Jockey Kelvin Sanderson: 9 from 56 (16.1%) in the last 90 days — rides #8 Wild Dancer here.
  • Trainer Barry Campbell: 9 from 35 (25.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Dancing Wolf, #5 Simply Deep here.
  • Trainer G J Stevenson: 11 from 47 (23.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #8 Wild Dancer here.
  • Trainer Bradley Franklin is 4 from 26 at today’s meeting profile (15.4% strike, A/E 1.67) and has #9 Billie The Great here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1350m · 42 races (42 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1612559.5%15.5%0.93
Middle (5–9)1551740.5%11%0.84
Wide (10+)2600%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1202047.6%16.7%0.85
On-pace (4–6)1181638.1%13.6%0.91
Midfield (7–10)8549.5%4.7%0.54
Unknown1924.8%10.5%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)837.1%37.5%0.59
Pop ($2–5)841842.9%21.4%0.70
Mid ($5–10)891331%14.6%1.05
Roughie (>$10)161819%5%1.02

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.