Devonport Synthetic R6

14:15Hospitality Tasmania (Bm64)
1009mBenchmark 64Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hospitality Tasmania (Bm64)a 1009m benchmark 64 at Devonport Synthetic, jumping at 14:15 on ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Devonport Synthetic has staged 21 races at 1009m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 13 of 21 (61.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 12 of 21 (57.1% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 46).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 9 of 21 (42.9% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (3 from 45).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 21 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 0.92 (13 from 79).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.03 (8 from 62).
  • Market: edge tilts to Odds-on (≤$2) — A/E 0.97 (6 from 9); overall it's Pop ($2–5).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Kirra-Lee Lane: 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 The Real Man here.
  • Jockey Erica Byrne Burke: 18 from 89 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #12 Bellasario here.
  • Trainer Barry Campbell: 9 from 35 (25.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #9 Houlihan here.
  • Trainer Bradley Franklin is 4 from 26 at today’s meeting profile (15.4% strike, A/E 1.67) and has #7 Miss Keeds here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1009m · 21 races (21 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)791361.9%16.5%0.92
Middle (5–9)78628.6%7.7%0.66
Wide (10+)1729.5%11.8%0.85

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)631257.1%19%0.84
On-pace (4–6)62838.1%12.9%1.03
Midfield (7–10)4600%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)314.8%33.3%7.76

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)9628.6%66.7%0.97
Pop ($2–5)35942.9%25.7%0.92
Mid ($5–10)45314.3%6.7%0.51
Roughie (>$10)85314.3%3.5%0.81

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.