Devonport Synthetic R8

15:35SEBA Sheetmetal (Bm64)
1880mBenchmark 64Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

SEBA Sheetmetal (Bm64)a 1880m benchmark 64 at Devonport Synthetic, jumping at 15:35 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Devonport Synthetic has staged 16 races at 1880m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 16 (56.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 16 (31.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 16 (62.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (1 from 49).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 26 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 16 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.03 (9 from 62).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.92 (5 from 35).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.91 (10 from 38).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Kirra-Lee Lane: 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 Don't Give Up here.
  • Jockey Erica Byrne Burke: 18 from 89 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Thin Red Line here.
  • Trainer Barry Campbell: 9 from 35 (25.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Alpine Trout here.
  • Trainer G J Stevenson: 11 from 47 (23.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Merlin Beach here.
  • Trainer Bradley Franklin is 4 from 26 at today’s meeting profile (15.4% strike, A/E 1.67) and has #7 Purr Sefanee here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1880m · 16 races (16 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)62956.2%14.5%1.03
Middle (5–9)57637.5%10.5%0.64
Wide (10+)1116.2%9.1%0.95

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)36425%11.1%0.86
On-pace (4–6)35531.2%14.3%0.92
Midfield (7–10)29318.8%10.3%0.77
Backmarkers (11+)400%0%0.00
Unknown26425%15.4%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)381062.5%26.3%0.91
Mid ($5–10)43531.2%11.6%0.86
Roughie (>$10)4916.2%2%0.44

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.