Mt Gambier R1

12:50Living Turf Mdn Plate
900mMaidenRail: 5m out entire
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Living Turf Mdn Platea 900m maiden at Mt Gambier, jumping at 12:50 on ground, rail 5m out entire. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Mt Gambier has staged 17 races at 900m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 17 (52.9% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (1 from 20).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 7 of 17 (41.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (2 from 52).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) and Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 5 of 17 each (29.4% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.22 (5 from 93).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Chelsea Thompson × Jamie Edwards are 7 from 10 (70.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #5 Champagne Ladies here.
  • Trainer Bob & Kane Post is 5 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (15.2% strike, A/E 1.37) and has #7 Mai here.
  • Trainer D I Dodson is 8 from 37 at today’s meeting profile (21.6% strike, A/E 1.30) and has #6 Daisy Dreaming here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
900m · 17 races (17 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)67952.9%13.4%1.19
Middle (5–9)79741.2%8.9%0.62
Wide (10+)2015.9%5%0.52

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)45741.2%15.6%0.97
On-pace (4–6)45635.3%13.3%1.01
Midfield (7–10)52211.8%3.8%0.42
Backmarkers (11+)400%0%0.00
Unknown20211.8%10%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3211.8%66.7%1.08
Pop ($2–5)31529.4%16.1%0.52
Mid ($5–10)39529.4%12.8%0.95
Roughie (>$10)93529.4%5.4%1.22

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.