Mt Gambier R7

16:50John Walsh Bookmaker Hcp (56)
1550mRestricted 56Rail: 5m out entire
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

John Walsh Bookmaker Hcp (56)a 1550m restricted 56 at Mt Gambier, jumping at 16:50 on ground, rail 5m out entire. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Mt Gambier has staged 19 races at 1550m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 8 of 19 (42.1% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.23 (6 from 51).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 19 (26.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 9 of 19 (47.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 72 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Chelsea Thompson: 9 from 59 (15.3%) in the last 90 days — rides #13 Shasam here.
  • Jockey Harry Grace is 8 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.48) and has #5 Mon Etoile here.
  • Trainer Ms B O'Loughlin is 5 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (15.6% strike, A/E 1.42) and has #9 Elsie Girl here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1550m · 19 races (19 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)72526.3%6.9%0.54
Middle (5–9)85842.1%9.4%0.86
Wide (10+)51631.6%11.8%1.23

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)39526.3%12.8%0.92
On-pace (4–6)39421.1%10.3%0.94
Midfield (7–10)40421.1%10%0.84
Backmarkers (11+)1800%0%0.00
Unknown72631.6%8.3%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)42947.4%21.4%0.84
Mid ($5–10)54631.6%11.1%0.80
Roughie (>$10)111421.1%3.6%0.87

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.