HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Mt GambierSunday 12 July 2026

Mt Gambier R3

14:10True North RV Hcp (54)
1400mRestricted 54Rail: 5m out entire
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

True North RV Hcp (54) — a 1400m restricted 54 at Mt Gambier, jumping at 14:10 on — ground, rail 5m out entire. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Mt Gambier has staged 15 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) and Wide (10+) win the most races here — 7 of 15 each (46.7% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.21 (1 from 56).
  • Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 6 of 15 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 5 of 15 each (33.3% win share); Pop ($2–5) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (4 from 25).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Teagan Voorham is 8 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (24.2% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #9 So Grand here.
  • Jockey Harry Grace is 8 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.48) and has #12 See De Night here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 15 races (15 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)5616.7%1.8%0.21
Middle (5–9)71746.7%9.9%0.92
Wide (10+)48746.7%14.6%1.16

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)42320%7.1%0.64
On-pace (4–6)42320%7.1%0.64
Midfield (7–10)51640%11.8%1.08
Backmarkers (11+)27213.3%7.4%0.94
Unknown1316.7%7.7%0.76

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)116.7%100%2.00
Pop ($2–5)25426.7%16%0.59
Mid ($5–10)49533.3%10.2%0.76
Roughie (>$10)100533.3%5%1.10

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.