HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WoodvilleSunday 12 July 2026

Woodville R4

11:50Six Rivers Automotive Mdn
2100mMaidenRail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Six Rivers Automotive Mdn — a 2100m maiden at Woodville, jumping at 11:50 on — ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Woodville has staged 12 races at 2100m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 6 of 12 (50.0% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.73 (4 from 33).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 2 of 12 each (16.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 6 of 12 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 82 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.73 (4 from 33).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.17 (2 from 15).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.13 (6 from 39).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer P Nelson & C Mcdougal is 3 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.65) and has #6 Monroe here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2100m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)47216.7%4.3%0.36
Middle (5–9)52650%11.5%0.92
Wide (10+)33433.3%12.1%1.73

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)15216.7%13.3%1.17
On-pace (4–6)1518.3%6.7%0.48
Midfield (7–10)15216.7%13.3%1.16
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00
Unknown82758.3%8.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)20433.3%20%0.69
Mid ($5–10)39650%15.4%1.13
Roughie (>$10)73216.7%2.7%0.61

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.