Woodville R8

14:14BWAG - Best Windows And Glass Mdn Hwt
1600mMaidenRail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

BWAG - Best Windows And Glass Mdn Hwta 1600m maiden at Woodville, jumping at 14:14 on ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Woodville has staged 11 races at 1600m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 5 of 11 (45.5% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (2 from 36).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 2 of 11 each (18.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 11 (45.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (2 from 77).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 82 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.06 (5 from 49).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.84 (2 from 12).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.04 (4 from 30).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer P Nelson & C Mcdougal is 3 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.65) and has #6 Rocky Belle, #13 One Penny here.
  • Trainer J L Rathbone is 4 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.62) and has #1 Bak De Ace here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 11 races (11 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)41436.4%9.8%0.83
Middle (5–9)49545.5%10.2%1.06
Wide (10+)36218.2%5.6%0.55

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)12218.2%16.7%1.84
On-pace (4–6)12218.2%16.7%1.21
Midfield (7–10)1300%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)700%0%0.00
Unknown82763.6%8.5%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)18545.5%27.8%0.93
Mid ($5–10)30436.4%13.3%1.04
Roughie (>$10)77218.2%2.6%0.58

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.