Historical overview
Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1400m at Wellington: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.35 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 9 of 12 winners (75.0% of winners, 20.9% strike, 1.39 A/E).
Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 1 (100.0% strike, 1.4 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 16.7% of winners.
Historical leans
- On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
- Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.