HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WellingtonMonday 6 July 2026

Wellington R3

13:49KFC Wellington Super Mdn Hcp
1400mMaidenRail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.29top 3
Ranked 1st
8. Adamana
Clayton Gallagher (6)
Ranked 2nd
6. Litlfela
Jenny Duggan (5)
Ranked 3rd
7. Nothing Finer
Jake Pracey-Holmes (10)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
14 Minister Garrett(2)
8 Adamana(6)
1 Black Dynasty(13)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
2 Regalade(3)
4 Think I'm In(3)
6 Litlfela(5)
13 Torpedo Ted(7)
10 Hot Miss(9)
11 Long Time Lovers(11)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
9 Fierce Impulse(1)
5 Seguro(8)
7 Nothing Finer(10)
15 Nodefence(12)
12 Redaluca Girl(15)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
3 Kowloon Magnate(4)

Historical overview

Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1400m at Wellington: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.35 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 9 of 12 winners (75.0% of winners, 20.9% strike, 1.39 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 1 (100.0% strike, 1.4 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 16.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).