HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WellingtonMonday 6 July 2026

Wellington R5

14:59LSS Locksmith And Security Country Boosted Hcp (C2)
1400mClass 2Rail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.62top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Vendor
Jacob Stiff (13)
Ranked 2nd
1. Jason Darren
(15)
Ranked 3rd
5. Fierce Luva
Izzy Neale (8)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
10 Lagoon(1)
16 Lockadente(9)
14 Felis(10)
Midfield7
settle 7–10
11 I'm Kenough(2)
9 Deodee(4)
7 Deepfield King(6)
5 Fierce Luva(8)
2 Strassman(11)
13 Dusty Vermeer(12)
6 My Angel Shell(14)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
8 Take The Chance(3)
4 Vendor(13)
1 Jason Darren(15)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
15 Ready For Lift Off(5)
12 Tea Or Coffee(7)
3 Italus(9)

Historical overview

Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1400m at Wellington: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.35 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 9 of 12 winners (75.0% of winners, 20.9% strike, 1.39 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 1 (100.0% strike, 1.4 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 16.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).