HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WellingtonMonday 6 July 2026

Wellington R7

16:15Wellington Soldiers Memorial Club Hcp (C1)
1100mClass 1Rail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.16top 3
Ranked 1st
2. De Joker
Chad Lever (6)
Ranked 2nd
1. Kevin
Izzy Neale (12)
Ranked 3rd
4. Red Chick
(3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield8
settle 7–10
8 Cool Space(1)
5 Fortians(2)
4 Red Chick(3)
13 Broadcast Boogie(3)
6 May Be Bubbles(4)
14 Silent Drama(5)
9 Wellspring(7)
12 Roman Miss(11)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
2 De Joker(6)
3 Hanuman(9)
7 Nugget Smart(9)
11 Notabadchassis(10)
1 Kevin(12)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
10 Elderberry Wine(8)

Historical overview

Across the 15 sampled runnings of 1100m at Wellington: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 15 winners (66.7% of winners, 25.6% strike, 1.27 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 8 of 15 winners (53.3% of winners, 12.7% strike, 1.02 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 5 (40.0% strike, 0.73 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 26.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).