Saturday 4 July 2026NSWEarly preview · published 3 July 14:10 AEST — updated race morning

Port Macquarie

TurfRail: +2m Entire13:0116:05
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:10 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Port Macquarie in NSW hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is +2m Entire. There are 6 races scheduled from 13:01 to 16:05.

The card

Distances run from 1,004m to 1,808m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens and 4 benchmark races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Fisher’s Plumbing Plus (Bm58).

What history says

Over 168 races from 2025-06-15 to 2026-06-14, settling position flags midfield (7–10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.58 A/E, 5.7% strike rate).

Trainer J A Sprague has 3 runners and a 18.9% local strike rate from 53 runs (1.43 A/E) and Jockey Jon Grisedale has 6 runners and a 8.9% local strike rate from 56 runs (1.05 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Port Macquarie

168 races · 1626 runners · since 2025-06-15

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TJonathan Smith2 todayA/E 2.44JStephen Cummins5 todayA/E 2.29TD L Matts2 todayA/E 2.21JMikayla Weir4 todayA/E 1.77TJ C Deamer2 todayA/E 1.50TDonna Grisedale2 todayA/E 1.48TJ A Sprague3 todayA/E 1.43TJ A Sylvester2 todayA/E 1.21JJeff Kehoe2 todayA/E 1.19JLiberty Smyth6 todayA/E 1.09JJon Grisedale6 todayA/E 1.05

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)6366236.9%9.7%0.69
Middle (5–9)7177846.4%10.9%0.89
Wide (10+)2732816.7%10.3%1.01

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)4567947%17.3%1.08
On-pace (4–6)4504426.2%9.8%0.72
Midfield (7–10)4542615.5%5.7%0.58
Backmarkers (11+)9531.8%3.2%0.58
Unknown171169.5%9.4%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)372011.9%54.1%0.88
Pop ($2–5)3228148.2%25.2%0.86
Mid ($5–10)3783621.4%9.5%0.71
Roughie (>$10)8893118.5%3.5%0.83

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.