Port Macquarie R3

14:11Rheem (Bm50)

1808mBenchmark 50Rail: +2mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.02top 3

Ranked 1st

2. Dancing Tilda

Kody Nestor (4)

Ranked 2nd

4. Farraige

Peter Graham (6)

Ranked 3rd

3. Seething Chuck

Liberty Smyth (8)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers1

settle 11+

8Shelley's Lookout(2)

Midfield4

settle 7–10

4Farraige(6)

10Memumza Diva(7)

9Smokey Saint(9)

11Foxwedge Arrow(11)

On-pace5

settle 3–6

7Flash Prince(1)

2Dancing Tilda(4)

6Mr Villa(5)

3Seething Chuck(8)

1Strobing(10)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

5Highland Hustle(3)

Historical overview

Across the 13 sampled runnings of 1808m at Port Macquarie: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 13 winners (46.2% of winners, 18.2% strike, 1.02 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 6 of 13 winners (46.2% of winners, 12.2% strike, 0.95 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 2 (100.0% strike, 1.49 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 7.7% of winners.

Historical leans

Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1808m · 13 races (13 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	49	6	46.2%	12.2%	0.95
Middle (5–9)	55	4	30.8%	7.3%	0.56
Wide (10+)	20	3	23.1%	15%	1.22

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	33	6	46.2%	18.2%	1.02
On-pace (4–6)	33	2	15.4%	6.1%	0.54
Midfield (7–10)	33	2	15.4%	6.1%	0.67
Backmarkers (11+)	8	1	7.7%	12.5%	1.24
Unknown	17	2	15.4%	11.8%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	2	2	15.4%	100%	1.49
Pop ($2–5)	30	7	53.8%	23.3%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	34	3	23.1%	8.8%	0.68
Roughie (>$10)	58	1	7.7%	1.7%	0.42