Wellington

TurfRail: True12:0515:56

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Wellington in NSW hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is True. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:05 to 15:56.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,700m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Col Hodges Comeback Cup (Bm82).

What history says

Over 51 races from 2025-05-13 to 2026-04-12, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Trainer Brett Thompson has 6 runners and a 18.0% local strike rate from 50 runs (1.45 A/E) and Jockey Jake Pracey-Holmes has 3 runners and a 19.5% local strike rate from 41 runs (1.44 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Wellington

51 races · 512 runners · since 2025-05-13

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TTroy Mc Carney4 todayA/E 2.50JClayton Gallagher5 todayA/E 1.68JZoe Hunt3 todayA/E 1.58TBrett Thompson6 todayA/E 1.45TM R Mulholland3 todayA/E 1.45JJake Pracey-Holmes3 todayA/E 1.44TMs M Harrison3 todayA/E 1.31

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1852651%14.1%0.99
Middle (5–9)2161937.3%8.8%0.71
Wide (10+)111611.8%5.4%0.65

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1292854.9%21.7%1.20
On-pace (4–6)1291121.6%8.5%0.73
Midfield (7–10)13847.8%2.9%0.31
Backmarkers (11+)2000%0%0.00
Unknown96815.7%8.3%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)10611.8%60%1.09
Pop ($2–5)952549%26.3%0.88
Mid ($5–10)1251019.6%8%0.61
Roughie (>$10)2821019.6%3.5%0.83

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.