Wellington

TurfRail: True—12:05–15:56

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Wellington in NSW hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is True. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:05 to 15:56.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,700m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Col Hodges Comeback Cup (Bm82).

What history says

Over 51 races from 2025-05-13 to 2026-04-12, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Trainer Brett Thompson has 6 runners and a 18.0% local strike rate from 50 runs (1.45 A/E) and Jockey Jake Pracey-Holmes has 3 runners and a 19.5% local strike rate from 41 runs (1.44 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Wellington

51 races · 512 runners · since 2025-05-13

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TTroy Mc Carney4 todayA/E 2.50JClayton Gallagher5 todayA/E 1.68JZoe Hunt3 todayA/E 1.58TBrett Thompson6 todayA/E 1.45TM R Mulholland3 todayA/E 1.45JJake Pracey-Holmes3 todayA/E 1.44TMs M Harrison3 todayA/E 1.31

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	185	26	51%	14.1%	0.99
Middle (5–9)	216	19	37.3%	8.8%	0.71
Wide (10+)	111	6	11.8%	5.4%	0.65

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	129	28	54.9%	21.7%	1.20
On-pace (4–6)	129	11	21.6%	8.5%	0.73
Midfield (7–10)	138	4	7.8%	2.9%	0.31
Backmarkers (11+)	20	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	96	8	15.7%	8.3%	0.80

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	10	6	11.8%	60%	1.09
Pop ($2–5)	95	25	49%	26.3%	0.88
Mid ($5–10)	125	10	19.6%	8%	0.61
Roughie (>$10)	282	10	19.6%	3.5%	0.83

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.