HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WellingtonSunday 5 July 2026

Wellington R4

14:01J.R Richards & Sons (Bm66)
1700mBenchmark 66Rail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.21top 3
Ranked 1st
3. Like Lukey
Nick Palmer (5)
Ranked 2nd
4. Egyptologist
Shannen Llewellyn (10)
Ranked 3rd
5. The Great Armada
Gabrielle Johnston (9)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
10 Allande(6)
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
8 Way To Divine(8)
Midfield3
settle 7–10
9 Mariota(2)
11 Epic Statement(4)
3 Like Lukey(5)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
2 Delrico(1)
7 Charlotting(7)
5 The Great Armada(9)
4 Egyptologist(10)
6 The Bentley(11)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
1 Toulon Factor(3)

Historical overview

Across the 5 sampled runnings of 1700m at Wellington: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 3 of 5 winners (60.0% of winners, 20.0% strike, 1.21 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 2 of 5 winners (40.0% of winners, 10.0% strike, 0.87 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: roughies (>$10) supply 0.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1700m · 5 races (5 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)20240%10%0.87
Middle (5–9)21240%9.5%0.63
Wide (10+)5120%20%1.60

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)15360%20%1.21
On-pace (4–6)15120%6.7%0.47
Midfield (7–10)13120%7.7%0.73
Backmarkers (11+)200%0%0.00
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)15480%26.7%1.03
Mid ($5–10)8120%12.5%0.94
Roughie (>$10)2300%0%0.00