Wellington R5

14:36LSS Locksmith And Security Country Boosted Hcp (C2)

1400mClass 2Rail: True

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7Track

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.74top 3

Ranked 1st

4. Vendor

Jacob Stiff (14)

Ranked 2nd

5. Fierce Luva

Izzy Neale (8)

Ranked 3rd

6. My Angel Shell

Gabrielle Johnston (15)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers3

settle 11+

10Lagoon(1)

16Lockadente(10)

14Felis(11)

Midfield7

settle 7–10

11I'm Kenough(2)

9Deodee(4)

7Deepfield King(6)

5Fierce Luva(8)

2Strassman(12)

13Dusty Vermeer(13)

6My Angel Shell(15)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

8Take The Chance(3)

4Vendor(14)

1Jason Darren(16)

Leaders3

pushing for the lead

15Ready For Lift Off(5)

12Tea Or Coffee(7)

3Italus(9)

Historical overview

Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1400m at Wellington: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.35 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 9 of 12 winners (75.0% of winners, 20.9% strike, 1.39 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 1 (100.0% strike, 1.4 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 16.7% of winners.

Historical leans

On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance

1400m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	43	9	75%	20.9%	1.39
Middle (5–9)	51	2	16.7%	3.9%	0.34
Wide (10+)	29	1	8.3%	3.4%	0.46

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	27	4	33.3%	14.8%	1.12
On-pace (4–6)	27	5	41.7%	18.5%	1.35
Midfield (7–10)	29	0	0%	0%	0.00
Backmarkers (11+)	5	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	35	3	25%	8.6%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	1	1	8.3%	100%	1.40
Pop ($2–5)	20	7	58.3%	35%	1.09
Mid ($5–10)	32	2	16.7%	6.2%	0.48
Roughie (>$10)	70	2	16.7%	2.9%	0.60