HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WellingtonSunday 5 July 2026

Wellington R7

15:56Wellington Soldiers Memorial Club Hcp (C1)
1100mClass 1Rail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.12top 3
Ranked 1st
2. De Joker
Chad Lever (7)
Ranked 2nd
4. Red Chick
Shannen Llewellyn (3)
Ranked 3rd
1. Kevin
Izzy Neale (13)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
4 Red Chick(3)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
8 Cool Space(1)
5 Fortians(2)
13 Broadcast Boogie(4)
6 May Be Bubbles(5)
9 Wellspring(8)
12 Roman Miss(12)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
14 Silent Drama(6)
2 De Joker(7)
7 Nugget Smart(10)
11 Notabadchassis(11)
1 Kevin(13)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
10 Elderberry Wine(9)

Historical overview

Across the 15 sampled runnings of 1100m at Wellington: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 15 winners (66.7% of winners, 25.6% strike, 1.27 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 8 of 15 winners (53.3% of winners, 12.7% strike, 1.02 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 5 (40.0% strike, 0.73 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 26.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 15 races (15 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)51640%11.8%0.82
Middle (5–9)63853.3%12.7%1.02
Wide (10+)4416.7%2.3%0.32

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)391066.7%25.6%1.27
On-pace (4–6)39320%7.7%0.88
Midfield (7–10)4400%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)1000%0%0.00
Unknown26213.3%7.7%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5213.3%40%0.73
Pop ($2–5)26746.7%26.9%0.83
Mid ($5–10)28213.3%7.1%0.57
Roughie (>$10)99426.7%4%1.11