Wellington R3

13:20KFC Wellington Super Mdn Hcp
1400mMaidenRail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.01top 3
Ranked 1st
8. Adamana
Clayton Gallagher (7)
Ranked 2nd
7. Nothing Finer
Jake Pracey-Holmes (11)
Ranked 3rd
6. Litlfela
Jenny Duggan (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
14 Minister Garrett(2)
8 Adamana(7)
1 Black Dynasty(14)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
2 Regalade(3)
4 Think I'm In(4)
6 Litlfela(6)
10 Hot Miss(10)
11 Long Time Lovers(12)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
9 Fierce Impulse(1)
13 Torpedo Ted(8)
5 Seguro(9)
7 Nothing Finer(11)
15 Nodefence(13)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
3 Kowloon Magnate(5)

Historical overview

Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1400m at Wellington: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.35 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 9 of 12 winners (75.0% of winners, 20.9% strike, 1.39 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 1 (100.0% strike, 1.4 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 16.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)43975%20.9%1.39
Middle (5–9)51216.7%3.9%0.34
Wide (10+)2918.3%3.4%0.46

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27433.3%14.8%1.12
On-pace (4–6)27541.7%18.5%1.35
Midfield (7–10)2900%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00
Unknown35325%8.6%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)118.3%100%1.40
Pop ($2–5)20758.3%35%1.09
Mid ($5–10)32216.7%6.2%0.48
Roughie (>$10)70216.7%2.9%0.60