Fannie Bay

—Rail: True—14:39–17:37

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Fannie Bay in NT hosts a provincial meeting on —. The rail is True. There are 6 races scheduled from 14:39 to 17:37.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 1 benchmark race, 4 restricted races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Rydges Palmerston Cup (76).

What history says

Over 264 races from 2025-05-10 to 2026-07-04, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.63 A/E, 3.3% strike rate).

Jockey Raymond Vigar has 3 runners and a 22.8% local strike rate from 79 runs (1.05 A/E) and Trainer Ella Clarke has 2 runners and a 26.7% local strike rate from 60 runs (1.06 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Fannie Bay

264 races · 2050 runners · since 2025-05-10

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JLek Maloney3 todayA/E 1.82TK J Lamprecht2 todayA/E 1.21JJessica Booth3 todayA/E 1.06TElla Clarke2 todayA/E 1.06JRaymond Vigar3 todayA/E 1.05

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1031	152	57.6%	14.7%	0.82
Middle (5–9)	871	100	37.9%	11.5%	0.83
Wide (10+)	148	12	4.5%	8.1%	0.71

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	11	2	0.8%	18.2%	1.20
Unknown	2039	262	99.2%	12.8%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	58	36	13.6%	62.1%	1.08
Pop ($2–5)	561	140	53%	25%	0.87
Mid ($5–10)	614	61	23.1%	9.9%	0.72
Roughie (>$10)	817	27	10.2%	3.3%	0.63

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.